Nihar Shembavnekar Economist
Nihar Shembavnekar joined the Health Foundation in February 2020 as an Economist.
Nihar works primarily on labour market issues in health and social care. His work contributes to supply-side analysis on a range of topics, including low paid staff in the health and care sectors and nurse supply modelling.
Prior to joining the Health Foundation, Nihar worked as a labour market economist at HM Treasury, where he undertook research on minimum wage policy. He also has prior experience in quantitative and qualitative research at Ofgem and ICF Consulting. Nihar holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Sussex, where he also taught a number of undergraduate and postgraduate economics modules, and an MPhil in Economics from the University of Oxford.
Latest articles
Report
NHS workforce projections 2022
The REAL Centre sets out its projections of future NHS workforce supply and demand in England, up to...
Analysis
Projections: General practice workforce in England
We summarise key findings of our analysis on workforce supply and demand in general practice in...
Data analysis
Where next for NHS nurses' pay?
This analysis looks at the impact of high inflation and other factors affecting nurse pay, and...
Working paper
How many NHS workers will we need over the coming decade?
The latest REAL Centre working paper examines how many full-time equivalent staff the NHS in England...
Chart
How reliant is the NHS in England on international nurse recruitment?
Registered nurses are the biggest area of workforce shortages in the NHS in England. Compared with...
Chart
Spring Statement 2022: What does rising inflation mean for health and social care?
With the public finances squeezed by higher inflation, we look at what the Spring Statement could...
Working paper
Nurse supply model: overview
This working paper provides an overview of the context for nurse supply in England and the various...
Working paper
Nurse supply model: a review of economic factors affecting nurse supply
This working paper summarises research on economic factors that affect the decision to become a...
Report
Nurses’ pay over the long term: what next?
We examine long-term trends in UK nurses' pay and ask whether the system for deciding nurses’ pay...
Chart
Spending Review 2021: what it means for health and social care
In this analysis we take a deeper look at what the Spending Review means for health and social care,...
Chart
How much does the NHS and social care workforce need to grow by over the next decade to meet demand?
In the next decade the NHS workforce needs to grow twice as fast and the social care workforce four...
Analysis
The NHS Long Term Plan and COVID-19
Our assessment of progress against the main pledges in the NHS Long Term Plan and the impact of...
Chart
How has NHS staff pay changed over the past decade?
Over the past 10 years, there has been very little change in overall average basic pay for NHS...
Blog
What might COVID-19 mean for England’s nurse supply?
What are the long-term challenges for nurse retention and recruitment following the pandemic? Nihar...
Data analysis
Social care funding gap
Our estimates of what it would cost to stabilise and improve adult social care in England.
Blog
How is COVID-19 impacting people working in adult social care?
We bring together emerging evidence of the pandemic’s impact so far on a workforce that has for too...
Blog
Addressing the nursing shortfall
Nihar Shembavnekar introduces the REAL Centre's nurse supply model, and explains why we hope it will...
Chart
Building the NHS nursing workforce in England: 8 key charts
Explore eight key charts from our report exploring the NHS nursing workforce in England.
Report
Building the NHS nursing workforce in England
The current shortfall of nurses represents a major long-term and growing problem for the NHS. This...
Data analysis
Spending Review 2020: Managing uncertainty
Our REAL Centre analysis explores the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health care spending, and...
Long read
Spending Review 2020
In the face of daunting costs from the COVID-19 pandemic, our long read looks at what a 1-year...
Working paper
Nurse supply model: progress so far
The Health Foundation's REAL Centre commissioned DAS to produce a model that can be used to develop...
Chart
The adult social care workforce in London
We explore analysis on the social care workforce and the delivery of care services in London.
Chart
Thinking local and global: exploring the UK’s reliance on international nurses and the impact of COVID-19
The unprecedented pressures caused by COVID-19 have highlighted the central importance of registered...
Chart
Even before COVID-19, high workforce turnover rates posed a major challenge for social care
Even before the pandemic, staffing was the biggest single challenge for the sector in England. High...
Chart
Going into COVID-19, the health and social care workforce faced concerning shortages
The NHS faces a workforce shortfall of over 115,000 full-time equivalent staff in England this year,...
Work with us
We look for talented and passionate individuals as everyone at the Health Foundation has an important role to play.
View current vacanciesThe Q community
Q is an initiative connecting people with improvement expertise across the UK.
Find out more